Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 811.004714 916.904603 1035.246288 1178.013061 1346.530028 1540.283112 1781.598837
2025-04-20 666.144255 809.085505 984.260484 1217.825586 1525.835238 1925.026628 2493.198972
2025-04-27 583.156643 739.332900 941.780449 1229.246961 1636.755835 2209.602674 3106.062363
2025-05-04 526.640508 691.234176 914.616732 1248.975521 1753.331294 2515.184473 3815.907988
2025-05-11 481.823816 650.823619 889.160747 1262.301694 1856.481859 2813.701098 4585.168302
2025-05-18 454.665930 630.728255 888.116846 1308.729631 2014.754624 3227.595503 5666.516385
2025-05-25 425.599751 603.866357 872.591245 1328.340235 2129.787446 3588.817126 6759.147479
2025-06-01 396.180551 573.019306 846.693080 1326.063404 2204.457190 3889.593668 7824.700080
2025-06-08 369.980306 544.389193 820.763337 1319.309916 2268.265878 4180.950263 8970.335120
2025-06-15 353.394924 529.258659 814.851690 1346.157728 2399.250631 4638.691359 10700.865486
2025-06-22 326.723910 495.412862 774.123612 1304.128736 2385.764929 4778.180840 11646.321798
2025-06-29 303.301422 465.109862 736.702550 1263.720469 2368.905826 4905.968533 12614.754039
2025-07-06 280.240287 434.492457 697.428874 1217.926371 2339.415102 5012.432931 13624.967738
2025-07-13 271.860210 428.361565 701.283956 1257.863465 2507.211393 5662.088007 16816.891016
2025-07-20 260.426759 415.888285 692.209474 1270.053781 2613.421918 6181.432529 19902.784601
2025-07-27 251.063181 406.296754 687.491119 1290.559311 2743.539745 6810.437589 23926.834336
2025-08-03 241.668270 395.896525 680.201011 1304.458285 2860.082618 7439.758327 28527.562285
2025-08-10 236.875426 393.502013 688.093947 1352.857881 3076.520698 8468.367395 36247.360393
2025-08-17 229.353162 385.441078 683.979085 1373.308102 3222.217407 9319.794167 44105.331923
2025-08-24 220.086447 373.432147 670.841803 1370.933595 3303.461385 9974.856416 51677.331620
2025-08-31 211.066645 361.307701 656.477228 1363.890847 3370.195804 10606.103726 60126.834763
2025-09-07 205.865574 356.237329 656.379941 1391.890955 3549.788801 11779.302974 75298.780774
2025-09-14 194.763972 338.906656 628.976366 1348.060863 3495.588568 11932.831184 81525.147884